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United Asset Strategies Quarterly Letter: 3Q2025
Market momentum continued into the third quarter, culminating in fresh alltime
highs for the S&P 500. As shown in Exhibit 1, returns were positive
across both equities and fixed income, with the S&P 500 up 8% and
Bloomberg Aggregate and Municipal bond indices gaining 2–3%. We
estimate that the equity market’s third-quarter performance was mostly
driven by two key factors. First, gains were again concentrated in Big Tech,
with the Magnificent 7 up 18% on continued enthusiasm around Artificial
Intelligence (AI) and the rest of the market up a more modest 5%. Second,
accommodative policy acted as a rising tide lifting all boats. The onset of a
new Fed rate-cutting cycle, combined with pro-growth tax and regulatory
measures introduced in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), created an
environment supportive of risk assets—most evident in the performance
gap between the +13% for high beta stocks and +1% for low beta stocks.
